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Farmer’s Almanac 2013 Winter Forecast

It’s out.  The 2013 Farmers Almanac forecast for the winter of 2013.  Before we look at 2013 lets go back to the forecast for 2012 which called for:

  • The upcoming winter looks to be cold to very cold for the Northern Plains, parts of the Northern Rockies, and the western Great Lakes. In contrast, above-normal temperatures are expected across most of the southern and eastern U.S. Near-normal temperatures are expected in the Midwest and Far West, and in southern Florida.
  • A very active storm track will bring much heavier-than-normal precipitation from the Southern Plains through Tennessee into Ohio, the Great Lakes, and the Northeast. Because of above normal temperatures, much of the precipitation will likely be rain or mixed precipitation, although, during February, some potent East Coast storms could leave heavy snow, albeit of a wet and slushy consistency.
  • An active Pacific Storm track will guide storm systems into the Pacific Northwest, giving it a wetter-than-normal winter.
  • Drier-than-normal weather will occur in the Southwest and Southeast corners of the nation.

I can state unequivocally that the Northeast did not experience “heavier-than-normal precipitation” nor were there “potent East Coast storms could leaving heavy snow“.   There was barely enough snow to warrant owning snowshoes!  In fact, last winter was the fourth warmest for the contiguous 48 since record keeping began in 1895, with 24 states experiencing below-normal precipitation.  In only 10 states—chiefly across the nation’s midsection— was winter precipitation above normal.

For the winter of 2013 the Farmer’s Almanac is predicting:

  • Winter will return to some – but not all – areas. We think it will be a “winter of contraries, as if Old Man Winter were cutting the country in half. The eastern half of the country will see plenty of cold and snow. The western half will experience relatively warm and dry condition. In other words, as in the political arena, the climate this winter will render us a nation divided.
  • We predict that real winter weather will return to areas from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Most eastern states – as far south as the Gulf Coast – will see snowier than normal conditions and cooler temperatures.
  • We are “red flagging” February 12–15 and March 20–23 for major coastal storms along the Atlantic seaboard; storms bringing strong winds and heavy precipitation.
  • But on the other side of the country, winter will continue its hiatus for another year. The forecast for west of the Continental Divide – the Pacific Northwest, desert Southwest, Pacific Coast – calls for mild temperatures and below-normal precipitation.

For more detail you have to buy a Farmer’s Almanac print or Kindle edition – or wait a few more weeks as the national weather agencies prepare their forecasts.

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